Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.020258 0.021883 0.023577 0.025475 0.027544 0.029733 0.032226
2025-10-12 0.017650 0.019993 0.022564 0.025602 0.029100 0.033011 0.037725
2025-10-19 0.015896 0.018649 0.021791 0.025654 0.030291 0.035699 0.042512
2025-10-26 0.014558 0.017569 0.021115 0.025618 0.031212 0.037967 0.046795
2025-11-02 0.013501 0.016692 0.020550 0.025588 0.032034 0.040058 0.050888
2025-11-09 0.012435 0.015697 0.019735 0.025136 0.032227 0.041295 0.053887
2025-11-16 0.011524 0.014821 0.018988 0.024685 0.032342 0.042375 0.056676
2025-11-23 0.010879 0.014237 0.018565 0.024604 0.032901 0.044027 0.060284
2025-11-30 0.010265 0.013650 0.018090 0.024405 0.033260 0.045390 0.063532
2025-12-07 0.009741 0.013148 0.017692 0.024271 0.033677 0.046826 0.066932
2025-12-14 0.009245 0.012653 0.017270 0.024068 0.033965 0.048068 0.070091
2025-12-21 0.008864 0.012295 0.017015 0.024077 0.034540 0.049734 0.073951
2025-12-28 0.008440 0.011871 0.016665 0.023960 0.034971 0.051276 0.077833
2026-01-04 0.008116 0.011576 0.016486 0.024086 0.035772 0.053425 0.082817
2026-01-11 0.007797 0.011268 0.016270 0.024136 0.036449 0.055410 0.087658
2026-01-18 0.007480 0.010947 0.016012 0.024103 0.036985 0.057187 0.092256
2026-01-25 0.007190 0.010648 0.015771 0.024075 0.037516 0.058973 0.096966
2026-02-01 0.006821 0.010212 0.015297 0.023652 0.037380 0.059652 0.099817
2026-02-08 0.006478 0.009800 0.014841 0.023231 0.037215 0.060263 0.102567
2026-02-15 0.006240 0.009540 0.014608 0.023155 0.037613 0.061829 0.107094
2026-02-22 0.005992 0.009253 0.014318 0.022969 0.037809 0.063050 0.111063
2026-03-01 0.005773 0.009002 0.014074 0.022844 0.038097 0.064437 0.115416
2026-03-08 0.005554 0.008741 0.013801 0.022654 0.038258 0.065600 0.119410